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アイルランドのバブル
アイルランドの首相がダボス会議で、「アイルランドのバブルは人々が熱狂的に借りまくったから」というコメントをしたことがアイルランドで批判を受けている。しかし、間違ってはいない。一番責任のあるのが、銀行、不動産業者、そして政治家だが、それに乗って国民も不動産投機に熱狂したのも事実であるから。
ダブリンの当時の様子が描かれている。タクシーの運ちゃんが客に、自分がいかに不動産に投資しているのかを自慢げに語る話、自宅のガレージを改装して豪華な電化製品を調達してそこに子供たちを住まわせるとか、黒海で不動産を買い、ベルリンで不動産を購入する・・・こういったことがフツーの庶民が我先に行っていたのだから。
そしてバブルの破裂。膨大な不動産が売れ残り、不動産価値は下がり、アンダーウォーター状態に陥り、・・・
いまでは居酒屋の主人は友人を連れてきたらお金を君に払ってくれるかもしんよ。外国人以外は客足はパッタリと途絶えているから。
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Enda Kenny and the inconvenient truth about Ireland's economic crash
The taoiseach's remark that people 'went mad with borrowing' provoked protest, but few said stop when the good times rolled
• Henry McDonald in Dublin
• guardian.co.uk, Tuesday 31 January 2012 16.04 GMT
Enda Kenny and the inconvenient truth about Ireland's economic crash
This article was published on guardian.co.uk at 16.04 GMT on Tuesday 31 January 2012. A version appeared in the Guardian on Wednesday 1 February 2012. It was last modified at 20.10 GMT on Tuesday 31 January 2012.
Enda Kenny at a session of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland this month.
During the boom years in Ireland when you used to have to pay for the privilege to enter some Dublin pubs even before forking out more than ¤5 at the bar for a pint of beer, the nation's taxi drivers had a favourite, repetitive boast. In between moans about there being "too many bleedin' foreigners" and who they had in the back of the cab once, Irish cabbies, particularly Dublin drivers, couldn't wait to tell you about their property portfolios.
They would regale you with tales of how they were just back from the Costa Brava having bought two duplex apartments next to an 18-hole golf course, or that they and their siblings had just purchased a series of buy-for-rent flats at Sunny Beach on the Bulgarian Black Sea. Back at home meanwhile they had just got planning permission to turn the garage beside their humble two-up-two down semi in Finglas into a games room for the kids which would be equipped with the latest plasma 36" TV screens, full-size pool table, sofa beds for sleepovers, fridges, microwaves and all the other mod cons to keep their offspring happy and out of mum and dad's hair.
All these domestic and foreign investments were of course fuelled by bank and building society loans based on the seemingly never-ending rise in equity on their homes. At the height of the Celtic Tiger prosperity in the first half of the last decade, houses prices, like Irish GDP, started to outpace the cost of home ownership in the most affluent parts of the UK.
From the dank gloom of early 2012 this collective spending spree appears like an orgiastic aberration, a blip of boom in the history of a nation more used to struggle, austerity and sacrifice. In short, for nearly a decade, the Irish did go mad before the bust brought them back to earth with a bone-shattering bump.
Which makes it all the more puzzling to understand why there has been so much outrage over the last few days about remarks Enda Kenny made at the Davos economic summit last week. During a question-and-answer session about the Irish economy, the taoiseach told his audience that the Irish bubble had burst because "people went mad with borrowing." Elaborating on this, Kenny added: "The extent of personal credit, personal wealth created on credit, was done between people and banks – a system that spawned greed to a point where this went out of control completely with a spectacular crash."
Kenny's comments provoked a storm of protest from the opposition benches of Dáil Éireann, such as Sinn Féin who pointed out accurately that his Davos remarks completely contradicted what the Irish premier had said prior to last December's cost-cutting austerity budget. Softening up the Irish public for a round of cuts and tax hikes, the taoiseach used a live televised address to explain why the government had to slash programmes and raise VAT. One of Kenny's first lines was the current economic mess his government was now dealing with was "not your fault", the implication being that the real fault lay with the builders and speculators, and their chums in the Irish banks who loaned them billions to construct new homes and offices that no one really needed.
However, the truth is it wasn't just the so-called "golden circle" of property developers, bankers and politicians – the latter rail-roading through Irish planning laws to get these projects built – who fuelled the credit-based boom; a huge number of ordinary Irish citizens also placed their bets in the casino-economy, believing that rising equity loaded the dice in their favour.
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